Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 8.507039 9.510443 10.593482 11.850785 13.272034 14.830850 16.672859
2025-04-20 6.900546 8.216850 9.737519 11.629573 13.928181 16.639646 20.094486
2025-04-27 5.792243 7.294669 9.138909 11.581772 14.751290 18.749761 24.215935
2025-05-04 4.891845 6.482630 8.546566 11.442972 15.438408 20.807576 28.656266
2025-05-11 4.086743 5.671029 7.832643 11.031122 15.700644 22.357166 32.723377
2025-05-18 3.474159 5.029787 7.253385 10.710146 16.033072 24.057935 37.336496
2025-05-25 2.995522 4.510032 6.770292 10.450051 16.408202 25.881343 42.495575
2025-06-01 2.626642 4.101593 6.393431 10.290473 16.908538 27.980130 48.520544
2025-06-08 2.333883 3.770855 6.089792 10.198312 17.499237 30.323665 55.445735
2025-06-15 2.150210 3.591157 6.003934 10.454727 18.726591 33.979745 65.538148
2025-06-22 1.931323 3.322894 5.731673 10.340464 19.263296 36.467066 73.909152
2025-06-29 1.715048 3.031576 5.380500 10.027906 19.371156 38.146868 80.992409
2025-07-06 1.538596 2.794412 5.104343 9.832270 19.709290 40.417534 90.042344
2025-07-13 1.434561 2.678642 5.039580 10.043838 20.922531 44.763095 104.912297
2025-07-20 1.347162 2.583701 5.002460 10.307050 22.297603 49.748605 122.649681
2025-07-27 1.252949 2.463653 4.899775 10.416184 23.353606 54.228222 140.348850
2025-08-03 1.140282 2.292698 4.671125 10.214637 23.657450 56.976892 154.210050
2025-08-10 1.043479 2.143450 4.469718 10.045047 24.010991 59.931835 169.518167
2025-08-17 0.959076 2.010928 4.288240 9.895284 24.390056 63.041601 186.221097
2025-08-24 0.888784 1.901205 4.143977 9.813946 24.933721 66.721142 205.828677
2025-08-31 0.828755 1.807625 4.025073 9.778021 25.594842 70.883446 228.335134
2025-09-07 0.794907 1.769864 4.031425 10.062894 27.196613 78.160933 263.885673
2025-09-14 0.741841 1.681370 3.905972 9.982974 27.746554 82.383388 289.964293